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Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung (Logo)Country Reports

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For the first time after the military defeat of the Islamic State (ISIL), national parliamentary elections were held in Iraq. Around 7,000 candidates, organized on 88 party lists, competed for 329 parliament seats in the election on May 12. When results are official, the new parliament will be appointed to form a new Iraqi government.

Preliminary Results

The new Iraqi parliament will be made up of 329 seats. IHEC has only published the preliminary results of the 18 respective provinces so far. It is becoming apparent that while Prime Minister Al-Abadi could not win any of the crucial constituencies, Al-Sadr’s Sairoun Movement and Al-Ameri’s Conquest Alliance have been very strong in these regions. In predominantly Shiite Iraq, experts mainly consider the Shiite provinces of the south crucial for the results. In these areas, Al-Sadr and Al-Ameri take the first ranks. Al-Abadi’s Victory Alliance only won in the predominantly Sunni province of Ninawa that was destroyed by ISIL. Nationally, however, he lags behind the rest.

For now, this implies that a new power balance is being established in the Iraqi parliament, bringing with it a long government-formation process with unclear results. In the past, the winners of the most votes were not always able to form a majority government. A deciding factor is whether the lists of Al-Abadi (Victory Alliance) and Al-Maliki (State of Law Alliance), that both originate from the Dawa Party, will unite. The influence of external actors, especially the USA and Iran, will also be crucial for the formation process.

The following table shows the preliminary results from ten out of 18 different provinces (numbers from May 17, 2018):

Sairoun Movement (Muqtada Al-Sadr): 413,000 votes

Conquest Alliance: (Hadi Al-Ameri) 232,000 votes

State of Law Coalition (Nuri Al-Maliki) 211,000 votes

Al-Wataniya (Ayad Allawi): 204,000 votes

Victory Alliance (Haider Al-Abadi): 194,000 votes

Note: With the announcement of new results, the country report will be updated. Please find the full version in the attached file.

About this Serial

The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung is a political foundation. Our offices abroad are in charge of over 200 projects in more than 120 countries. The country reports offer current analyses, exclusive evaluations, background information and forecasts - provided by our international staff.


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