Seminar

Seminar: Oil Shock - Impacts and Mitigation Strategies, Policy Implication for Vietnam

Co-organized by KAS Vietnam and University of Social Sciences and Humanities

Details

Almost fifty years has passed since the 1973 -1974 oil crisis, the history appears to repeat itself since the world is currently in the grip of an oil shock. Within a few months, fear of oil supply shortage has been looming large which intensifies upward pressure on oil prices[1], causing fuel costs to surge, inflationary pressure to rise, consumer tempers to flare worldwide, and enormous impact to world politics and economics. Vietnam is not an exception. Early studies of March 2022 showed massive burden Vietnam’s economy had to suffer following a sharp increase in petroleum prices.

Though oil crisis is not a new phenomenon, it is even regarded as an integral part of oil market dynamics, its return and severe but asymmetric impact to the world economy; however, requires further investigation. Issues which range from the factors triggering oil shock, the impacts of oil shock on global politics and development, as well as countries’ approach to handle the crisis are topic which draw attention of scholars and practitioners. Besides, from a global scale, the involvement of great powers to the crisis and how to bring today’s energy crisis to an end while countries are still struggling to recover from COVID-19 are also an important question that need addressing.

The main objective of the seminar is that researchers and practitioners can learn and share their understanding about the reasons behind the instability of oil market, the impacts of oil shock to international relations and development, and how countries response to oil crisis. Thereby, participants can discuss and propose relevant policy recommendations for Vietnam in encountering an oil crisis. The roundtable focuses on the following issues:

  • The factors behind oil shock;
  • The impacts of oil shock on international relations and development;
  • Case studies of states’ responses to oil shock;
  • The role of great powers in governing oil crisis and energy security; and
  • Global governance on energy crisis.

 

 

Programm

14.00 – 14.10 Opening Session

Representative of University of Social Sciences and Humanities (USSH), VNU-Hanoi

Mr. Florian Feyerabend, Resident Representative, Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung

14.10 – 15.10 Presentation Session

Moderators:  Prof. Dr. Hoang Khac Nam and Dr. Lena Le

Changes in the global oil market and future of the current oil price shock

Dr. Bui Ngoc Son

Institute of World Economics and Politics, Vietnam Academy of Social Sciences (VASS)

 

The effects of multiple shocks: High resource prices and rising interest rates create a strong macroeconomic cocktail 

Prof. Dr. Heribert Dieter
Global Issues Research Group, German Institute for International and Security Affairs

 

Factors driving the oil price shock and optimal policy recommendations for managing Vietnam’s oil market

Dr. Vuong Quang Luong

Vietnam Institute of Strategy and Policy for Industry and Trade,

Ministry of Industry and Trade (MoIT)

15.10 – 15.40 Panel Discussion

Commentators:

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nguyen Anh Tuan

Deputy Director

Institute for Foreign Policy and Strategic Studies,

Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nguyen An Ha

Former General Director

 Institute for European Studies

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Bui Quang Tuan

General Director

Vietnam Institute of Economics

 

 

 

15.40 -16.20 Open discussion

16.20-16.30 Closing session

Prof. Dr. Hoang Khac Nam

University of Social Sciences and Humanities (USSH), VNU-Hanoi

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