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Reuters / Viacheslav Ratynskyi

Victory? Stalemate? Escalation?

Possible developments of the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine by 24 February 2024

Ukrainians are fighting for a future in peace and freedom. This also affects us, because what we do or don't do today has a direct impact on the people of Ukraine, on security in Europe and on the international order. For the sake of being better prepared for possible developments in the course of the war, the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung has devised four scenarios together with experts from 13 European countries.

Reuters / Gleb Garanich

Albania: Political and Social Impact One Year After the Start of the War in Ukraine

Reliable Partner of the West and Concerns in the Population

One year after the beginning of the Russian war of aggression, Albania is showing itself to be a reliable partner of Ukraine and the Western community of security and values. The government, opposition and civil society have unanimously condemned the Russian invasion.

Reuters / Mike Segar

One year after Russia's invasion: What is the state of international solidarity with Ukraine?

 

Flickr / Bundeswehr / Christian Thiel

What does the withdrawal of the Bundeswehr mean for Mali and the Sahel region?

Less room for manoeuvre for the UN mission MINUSMA and declining stability foreseeable

Due to the ongoing problems with Mali's military government, the German government has decided to withdraw the Bundeswehr from the Sahel country by May 2024 at the latest. But there is discussion about whether Germany's largest foreign mission could end even earlier.

Reuters / Gleb Garanich

Republic of Moldova: Political and Social Impact One Year after the Start of the War in Ukraine

Leaving Moscow's Sphere of Influence: A Tough Battle

The pro-European reform forces won the elections in Moldova in 2020 and 2021. Since then, they have been trying to extricate the country from Moscow's sphere of influence in times of war in Ukraine and thus under the most difficult conditions imaginable. Receiving EU candidate status in June 2022 was a milestone on this path. But Moscow will not let Moldova go without a fight. Even if it does not currently look like a military confrontation, there are many other means for the Russian leadership to torpedo the small country's reform path towards the EU. But the Republic of Moldova is fighting back.

Reuters / Sputnik Photo Agency

Russia: Nuclear Dangers and Risks of Escalation

The global security situation is extremely tense. Disputes are hardening and the global conflict between liberal democracies and authoritarian systems is intensifying. The war in Ukraine is not just a war between two former Soviet republics, but a systemic conflict. The assessment of the risks of escalation is a matter of debate. UN Secretary-General António Guterres tells the UN General Assembly in New York: "I fear the world is not sleepwalking into a major war - I fear it is doing so with its eyes wide open". In a speech to both chambers of the Russian parliament on 21 February 2023, Vladimir Putin did fall short of the expectations of Russian hardliners calling for an even more brutal war in Ukraine, not shying away from calls for the use of tactical nuclear weapons. However, Putin announced the unilateral freezing of the "New Start" nuclear disarmament treaty.

Stefanie Arndt, Alfred-Wegener-Institut, CC-BY 4.0

Threats of Irreversible Losses

Climate Change in the Arctic and the Consequences of Russia’s War in Ukraine for International Research Cooperation

Professor Boetius is a marine researcher and Director of the Alfred Wegener Institute, the leading German institution in the field of polar and marine research. In an interview with International Reports, she explains why climate change threatens to cause irreversible losses in the Arctic, why the Russian attack on Ukraine has also severely impacted research in the polar region, and what she is still keen to find out about the Arctic.

REUTERS / Kai Pfaffenbach

Urteilsverkündung des Bundesverfassungsgerichts

Statement unseres Vorsitzenden Prof. Dr. Norbert Lammert

Das Bundesverfassungsgericht hat am 22. Februar 2023 sein Urteil in Sachen „Desiderius-Erasmus-Stiftung“ verkündet. Bei dem Verfahren ging es um die Frage, ob die AfD als Partei durch die bisher nicht gewährte staatliche Finanzierung der ihr nahestehenden Stiftung in ihrem Recht auf Chancengleichheit im Parteienwettbewerb verletzt ist.

Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung e. V.

Selbstbestimmtes Leben? Die Situation von Menschen mit Behinderungen im Senegal

Inklusion weltweit – aktueller Stand aus dem Senegal

Ca. 6 Prozent der Bevölkerung im Senegal leben mit einem Handicap. Unter anderem sind Landminen eine der Ursachen für Versehrtheit, aber auch Unfälle und die schlechte Gesundheitsvorsorge. Stigmatisierung ist immer noch ein Teil der tief verankerten Vorurteile in der Gesellschaft. Gesetze und Konventionen existieren, aber die Umsetzung ist eine Mammutaufgabe.

REUTERS / Juan Carlos Ulate

Deportation to freedom

Nicaragua remains a state of injustice

Surprisingly for the public, but also for those affected themselves, the Nicaraguan regime released 222 political prisoners to the United States on February 9. However, the supposedly good news has a bitter aftertaste: The deported prisoners were deprived of their citizenship and all the respective rights. In the future, the international community must continue to demand the granting of human rights and a return to democratic processes.

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