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Voting Decisions and Racialized Fluidity in South Africa's Metropolitan Municipalities

Authors: Marcel Paret and Carin Runciman

Do racial identities determine voting behaviour in post-apartheid South Africa? To address this question, the authors draw from a representative sample of 3,905 registered voters in five metropolitan municipalities: Johannesburg, Tshwane, Durban, Cape Town, and Nelson Mandela Bay. The authors findings are mixed. On the one hand, Black voters were significantly more likely to vote for the African National Congress, whereas Coloured, Indian, and especially white voters were more likely to vote for the Democratic Alliance. This contrast comes into particular focus when the authors examine how voters acted over the course of a three-election period. On the other hand, race was far from a guaranteed predictor, not the least because many chose to abstain from voting—a trend that extended, though unevenly, to all racial groups. Importantly, though, the electorate did not split between party loyalists and consistent abstainers. Instead, fluidity predominated: About half of the electorate changed positions between elections, either by switching between parties or between voting and abstaining. The authors findings thus demonstrate what we call ‘racialized fluidity’: Many voters are changing their voting decision from one election to the next, but in the aggregate, racial identity remains correlated with voting decisions.

Dialogues on Connectivity between Europe and Asia

The Next Gen EU-ASEAN Think Tank Dialogue

While connectivity has become a buzzword in policy circles, what does it mean in practice? How can better connectivity be effectively implemented? How can the potential of connectivity between ASEAN and the EU be harnessed for maximum impact? How can greater connectivity be aligned with sustainability? This book is a timely resource for academics and policy practitioners alike to delve deeper into the issues of connectivity.

Dialogues on Sustainable Development between Europe and Asia

The Next Gen EU-ASEAN Think Tank Dialogue

This book is a compilation of papers under the Sustainable Development cluster of the EANGAGE project. The book reflects the efforts, dedication, and teamwork spirit of the young think tankers from ASEAN and the European Union to unpack and provide solutions to sustainable development challenges in the two regions. As Southeast Asia and Europe are becoming increasingly interconnected and complex, cooperation on sustainable development is even more relevant. Both regions can share best practices and provide an essential framework for achieving a more equitable, prosperous, and secure future.

One Hundred Days of Lula III

Cadernos Adenauer 1/2023

The first issue of 2023 of the Cadernos Adenauer series is dedicated to the theme of the first 100 days of the third presidential term of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and features nine articles that investigate some of the main issues on the government's agenda.

Towards a Sustainable Security for Asia and Europe

The Next Gen EU-ASEAN Think Tank Dialogue

This joint publication on security issues aims to serve as a platform for dialogue and exchange, and can help to build bridges between the two regions, particularly in areas where there may be divergent perspectives or approaches. By collaborating on research and analysis, ASEAN and EU research fellows can make recommendations for security cooperation between the two regions.

IMAGO / Panthermedia

Election´s ahead in Türkiye: Nation or People?

On May 14th the Turkish people will elect a president as well as a new parliament.

On May 14, Türkiye will elect a president as well as a new parliament. Incumbent Erdoğan is being challenged by the longstanding CHP-politician Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu. Both candidates are supported by respective alliances. The so-called National Alliance of the opposition includes a broad ideological spectrum of six parties. While the strongest party within the alliance, CHP, presents itself as a center-left party, the Good Party has its origins in the nationalist movement. DEVA and the Future Party are both headed by former ministers who served under president Erdoğan. The Democrat Party is considered a liberal conservative party whereas the Felicity Party is a islamist party. The National Alliance is tied together by the goal of reestablishing parliamentary power. Beyond that, the opposition is attacking the economic and migration policies of the current government. President Erdoğan, for his part, is being supported by the so-called People´s Alliance containing various political ideologies as well. Most striking, however, are the radical members of the People´s Alliance, such as Hüda Par, a kurdish-islamist party openly opposed the kemalist consensus of the Turkish republic. Yet, the electoral campaign is overshadowed by the earthquakes which erupted the Southeast in early February. Four weeks before the election will take place, this report summarizes the developments of the last two months and takes a look ahead.

EPP Party Barometer April 2023

The Situation of the European People’s Party in the EU

The EPP Party Barometer illustrates the strength of the European party families in current opinion polls - with a particular focus on the European People's Party (EPP).

Flickr / UN Geneva / CC BY-NC-ND 2

Geneva Barometer

Developments among Geneva-based international organisations from mid-February to mid-April 2023

The ‘Geneva Barometer’ takes an occasional look at selected developments among international organisations based in Geneva.

Adobe Stock / Freddie Fehmi Mehmet

Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung to gradually resume its activities in Egypt

Upon the invitation of the Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Egypt is an important foreign and economic policy neighbor for Europe and Germany. Upon the invitation of the Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and after carefully reviewing the legal framework, the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung has decided to gradually resumed its engagement in Egypt after a ten-year interruption.

ARD Tagesschau, MPKAS

"The Russian propaganda is destructive. The goal is the destruction of the liberal societies."

Translation of the interview with Hendrik Sittig, Head of the KAS Media Programme Southeast Europe, for the Bulgarian National Radio "BNR", published on April 01, 2023.

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Facts and Findings

Selected contributions to the series with international relevance

The series informs in a concentrated form about important positions of the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung on current topics. The individual issues present key findings and recommendations, offer brief analyses, explain the Foundation's further plans and name KAS contact persons.

 

International Reports

Journal for international issues, foreign policy and development cooperation

International Reports (IR) is the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung's periodical on international politics. It offers political analyses by our experts in Berlin and from more than 100 offices across all regions of the world. Contributions by named authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the editorial team.

EPP Party Barometer

The Situation of the European People's Party in the EU

The EPP Party Barometer illustrates the current situation of the EPP party family in the EU. On a non-regular basis, it provides a concise overview of current election results, polls from the member states and the composition of the party family.

Interviews

In our series "Interviews", talks and discussions are held with experts from the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung e.V. on various topics.

kurzum

Concise, reduced to the essentials, but always highly topical. In our series "kurzum", our experts summarise an issue or problem on a maximum of two pages.

Country Reports

Short political reports of the KAS offices abroad

The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung is a political foundation. Our offices abroad are in charge of over 200 projects in more than 120 countries. The country reports offer current analyses, exclusive evaluations, background information and forecasts - provided by our international staff.

Event Reports

The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, its educational institutions, centres and foreign offices, offer several thousand events on various subjects each year. We provide up to date and exclusive reports on selected conferences, events and symposia at www.kas.de. In addition to a summary of the contents, you can also find additional material such as pictures, speeches, videos or audio clips.