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Navigating a Fragmented War Alliance

Assessing the Sudanese Armed Forces’ Role in Conflict Resolution

An in-depth analysis on the role of the Sudanese Armed Forces in the Sudan conflict by author Marja-Lina Marschall. Sixth volume of the research and policy paper series "Security Dialogue for East Africa: Insights & Perspectives".

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This paper assesses the role of the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) in the conflict resolution process in Sudan. It focuses on the SAF’s various domestic military partners, including the Islamic Movement led by Ali Karti, as well as peripheral rebel groups such as the Joint Darfur Forces, which emerged from a decades-long uprising against the regimes in Khartoum. The objective of this paper is to elaborate how the fragmented and fragile nature of the SAF war alliance complicates conflict resolution efforts. To what extent has the SAF’s fractured coalition contributed to its leadership’s reluctance to engage in peace negotiations? How stable can the SAF alliance remain in the long term, particularly in a post-conflict scenario?

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