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CHINA AFTER COVID-19: NAVIGATING BETWEEN GREAT POWER RIVALRY AND INTERNATIONAL STABILITY

Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

When China marked the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic in October 2019, the role of the United States in the international arena had been thoroughly reshuffled by the presidency of Donald Trump. His open contempt of multilateral institutions and policies driven by narrow interests had left allies doubting if they could rely on US support in the event of a crisis. At the same time, China has become particularly active in defining its role in the world since President and Party Chairman Xi Jinping took over leadership in 2012. He shifted China’s ambitions into a higher gear by announcing that China must “take centre stage in the world.”

CHINA AND COVID-19: AMID GLOBAL PRESSURES AND REGIONAL AMBITIONS

Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

The coronavirus crisis has accelerated the onset of an across-the-board, zero-sum confrontation between Washington and Beijing. This had already been preceded by the Trump administration’s trade war and open warnings surrounding Huawei’s 5G technology, the European Commission’s description of China as a “systemic rival promoting alternative models of governance”, criticism of the Chinese regime’s increasing control over Hong Kong and its treatment of the Uyghur population in Xinjiang, and regional pushback against the perceived excesses of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Western countries’ hardening line toward China in recent months has left Beijing with likely the most unfavourable international environment it has faced since the Tiananmen incident of 1989.

Strategic dilemmas facing Russia in the post-corona world

Expert Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

The disruptive nature of the pandemic for Russia and the post-Soviet space should not be overestimated. Yet, it has served as a stress test by aggravating many of the previously vexed issues and their implications, which go well beyond national agenda.

Restoration of Russia and the new world order

Contribution of KAS Moscow to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

Over the past 20 years, the Russian government has managed to dodge the impending state collapse and leave behind the economic chaos of the 1990s. This reinstatement as a major power was achieved primarily through incremental but effective upgrade of the armed forces. However, there is still a critical dependency on raw material exports.

CHALLENGES AND SCENARIOS FOR US FOREIGN POLICY

Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

The SARS-CoV-2 virus is dangerous not so much because of the direct damage done to living cells, but because of the accompanying complications that it triggers. The overall health status of the affected body is what matters, alongside chronic diseases and susceptibilities. The impact of the pandemic on global politics is somewhat similar: the lockdown and economic disruption exacerbate the accumulated contradictions and problems. From this perspective, the pandemic hit the U.S. at a bad time in terms of both its domestic political landscape and the foreign policy it has adopted in recent years. The active yet chaotic and hazardous game with opponents and partners that Donald Trump picked as his strategy can bear fruit only in certain conditions. Achieving success requires a robust economy (in 2017–2019, the U.S. economy grew at a rate of 2%–3%), as well as readily available reserves, fast response capability, confidence and an image of success.

U.S. SECURITY POLICY PRIORITIES WILL STAY THE SAME

Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

Will COVID-19 change U.S. security policy priorities and will the Corona crisis cause Washington to deviate from its comprehensive security policy approach?

Voice of Freedom from behind Bars

An anthology of works by Belarusian political prisoners

The Anthology "Voice of Freedom from behind Bars" holds under one cover poetry, memoirs, diaries, stories and publicist articles written by citizens of the Republic of Belarus, who have been or continue to be politically persecuted. Among the authors there are both well-known poets, journalists, politicians and those whose texts get published for the first time in their life. The book was published by European Humanities University Press with financial support from Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung e.V..

Our Neighbour, the European Union

New guidebook for teachers

Belarusian school teachers of history and other social sciences have now at their disposal the guidebook "Our Neighbour, the European Union", which will help them to acquaint their students with the history, structure and functions of the EU, as well as with the current situation and prospects of its political, economic and cultural development.

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