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Neue EU-Sanktionen gegen Belarus bei schweren Menschenrechtsverstößen "sehr wahrscheinlich"

Interview mit Dr. Oliver Ernst, Experte für Demokratie und Menschenrechte der Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung Berlin

Angesichts der Zuspitzung der Menschenrechtslage in Belarus wird viel spekuliert, ob im Fall eines harten „Crackdowns“ seitens des Westens mit neuen Sanktionen zu rechnen wäre. Dr. Oliver Ernst analysiert im Gespräch, wie wahrscheinlich dies wäre - und kommt zu einem klaren Ergebnis

UNITED KINGDOM IN THE SHADOW OF BREXIT AND COVID-19

Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

The United Kingdom was facing testing geopolitical circumstances even before the outbreak of COVID-19. The UK is seeking to shape its new role outside of the EU and this has coincided with fresh disputes with Russia, a growing dispute between China and the United States US, and challenges in the UK’s ‘special relationship’ with the US, alongside the global COVID-19 pandemic. These factors alone would suggest the UK chart a nuanced foreign policy, appeasing new trade partners and assuaging political tensions, however this has not been the case, and the UK has recently acted in spite of possible political repercussions, passing the Magnitsky Act and offering citizenship to Hong Kong citizens. These decisions will have strong geopolitical ramifications for the UK during and after the global pandemic.

UNITED NATIONS AND INTERNATIONAL PEACE AND SECURITY AFTER COVID-19

Contribution to the series "The World HandCov'd"

The largest intergovernmental organization that solemnly celebrated its 75th anniversary in 2020 was definitely not in its best shape as it approached the new landmark. The organization was established by the countries that were victorious in WWII and literally immediately found itself divided into two opposed blocks — capitalist and socialist — with the Group of 77 seeking neutrality in between. That confrontation was overcome for a short period in the 1990s after the disintegration of the USSR and the global socialist system.

COVID-19: CHALLENGES TO GLOBAL MULTILATERALISM

Contribution to the series "The World HandCov'd"

The COVID-19 pandemic has in many ways worked as an accelerator of already existing tendencies in international politics and in multilateral fora. While it is far too early to predict the consequences of the crisis for multilateralism and the multilateral architecture in general, certain developments can still be seen. Definitive predictions should however be approached very cautiously.

EUROPE WILL EMERGE STRONGER FROM THE PANDEMIC

Contribution to the series "The World HandCov'd"

The COVID-19 pandemic has shown – once again – that international coordination is indispensable. Multilateralism has come, however, under immense pressure and when cooperation was needed the most unilateral measures set the tone. The liberal international order is in a state of crisis and in times when the United States pulls out of international institutions it is up to the EU to defend a rules-based multilateralism.

WHY THE EU IS NOT MAKING A NEW WORLD

Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

The ongoing coronavirus pandemic has asked questions of the European Union. For some, its relative invisibility during the early phase of the pandemic confirmed its irrelevance; for others, its relevance and necessity are more obvious than ever in an increasingly insecure world. The pandemic provides an opportune moment to assess the EU’s capacity to face security challenges in an emerging global order. The EU will need to adapt quickly if it is to retain its vigour and security.

COVID-19 AND NATO: NO GAME-CHANGER BUT ACCELERATION OF PREEXISTING TRENDS

Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

The full scale of the destructive effect that the COVID-19 pandemic has brought on virtually all aspects of life is not yet fully clear. However, it is evident that the pandemic already had profound consequences for international affairs in general and security policy more specifically. These developments, in turn, have also affected a cornerstone of Euro-Atlantic security, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO). Although infectious diseases are hardly a chief concern for the organisation, heads of the member states and senior decision-makers within NATO have underlined that the spread of COVID-19 at least bears indirect consequences for the alliance. In order to measure the effect of COVID-19 on NATO, the following analysis will first describe the status quo within NATO before the spread of the disease. Secondly, it will examine the direct effects the virus has had on NATO. Lastly, this analysis will look at the extent to which the virus has altered transformation processes in the political and security environments and thus has had an indirect effect on the alliance.

COVID-19 AND NATO: SHORT-TERM EFFECTS AND LONG-TERM CHALLENGES

Contribution to the series "The World HandCOV'd"

In a matter of only a few months the coronavirus pandemic became the dominating domestic policy driver for many countries and the primary shaper of international relations in its own right. It not only affected individual states, but also disrupted the operations of international organizations, integration blocs and military alliances. NATO is no exception. Involved in the fight against the pandemic, the Alliance also found itself faced with serious long-term challenges, which are not entirely new, but have become markedly more relevant in the new environment. So what is it that NATO gas already encountered during the pandemic and to which long-term challenges will the Alliance need to find answers?

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