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State of Play: Strategic Competition and Regional Agency in the Gulf

Roundtable on great power dynamics and middle power maneuvering from a transatlantic lens

The 2026 US/Israel-Iran war has reshaped the strategic landscape of the Gulf, raising new questions about great-power competition, regional agency, and the future of European and transatlantic engagement in the region. This closed-door roundtable in Brussels brings together policymakers, scholars, and experts from the United States, Europe, and the Gulf to examine the implications of the post-war moment and the recalibration of partnerships across the three regions.

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Details

On 8 June 2026, the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung (KAS)'s Regional Programme Gulf States, together with the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative  and with the Anwar Gargash Diplomatic Academy (AGDA) and the Prince Saud Al-Faisal Institute for Diplomatic Studies (IDS) as partner guest institutions will host a closed-door roundtable on strategic competition and regional agency in the Gulf in Brussels.

 

Held against the backdrop of the 2026 US/Israel-Iran war, the dialogue will bring together policymakers, scholars, and experts from the United States, Europe, and the Gulf to assess how the conflict has reshaped great-power competition in the Gulf and what this means for the recalibration of European and transatlantic engagement in the region. Held under the Chatham House Rule, the roundtable will focus on the following topics:

 

  • The post-war recalibration of US and European roles in Gulf security, and the implications of the conflict for transatlantic alignment;
  • How Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and other Gulf states are leveraging their growing autonomy and economic statecraft, and what this reveals about shifting patterns of alignment in the region;
  • The evolving great-power landscape in the Gulf, including the trajectory of the Russia-Iran-China alignment and the risks of strategic vacuums;
  • What a durable security architecture for Europe, the GCC, and the United States might look like in light of these shifts, and the opportunities for US-EU-GCC cooperation.

The Brussels session has been added to the State of Play series as an extraordinary European-Transatlantic edition in response to the 2026 war. It follows the inaugural session held in Doha in December 2025, with in-region sessions to follow in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates later in 2026.

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Venue

Brussels, Belgium
Contact Philipp Dienstbier
Philipp Dienstbier_Portrait
Director of the Regional Programme Gulf States
philipp.dienstbier@kas.de +962 6 59 24 150
Contact

Layan Ounis

Layan Ounis
Project Manager and Research Fellow
layan.ounis@kas.de +962 6 5929777 ext.: 218

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