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Great Power Competition in the Gulf

by Jonathan Fulton

Issue Brief

As global power dynamics shift away from unipolarity toward a more decentered international order, the Gulf is emerging as an increasingly important arena of strategic competition. Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states are navigating this environment through interest-based partnerships, maintaining ties with global powers while prioritising regional stability and economic development. This issue brief examines how Gulf leaders are responding to evolving great-power dynamics and why stability and de-escalation remain central to their regional agenda. The publication is a result of a collaboration between KAS’s Regional Programme Gulf States and the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative.

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Bottom Lines Up Front
As the unipolar moment ends, Gulf leaders have an unusual opportunity to shape their own region, with preferences for stability and economic development.


Though interests, not ideology, drive Gulf states’ partnerships, Gulf leaders have shown they value the predictability that a rules-based international order creates.


De-escalating the region’s longstanding tensions remains the Gulf priority it was pre-October 7, 2023.

 

The issue brief is the result of a collaboration between KAS's Regional Programme Gulf States and the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative. To read the full issue brief, download the document using the 'Download' button on the right-side of the page. 

 

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Contact Philipp Dienstbier
Philipp Dienstbier_Portrait
Director of the Regional Programme Gulf States
philipp.dienstbier@kas.de +962 6 59 24 150

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