Ukraine, Nuclear Deterrence, and the New Proliferation Dynamic

This publication explains why the global nuclear non-proliferation regime is coming under increasing pressure. As international norms and security guarantees lose credibility, debates over nuclear options are intensifying across different regions of the world. Drawing on the cases of Ukraine, South Korea, and beyond, the study analyses the drivers of these developments and their global implications. It highlights why strengthening international norms and maintaining trust in the rules-based order are critical to preventing a new wave of nuclear proliferation.