Iraq after the Election: Transformation of the Political Landscape - International Reports
Iraq after the Election: Transformation of the Political Landscape
IRAQI ELECTION SURPRISES WITH UNEXPECTED RESULTS AND LOW VOTER TURNOUT
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IHEC has published the preliminary election results on May 19. According to these results, Prime Minister Al-Abadi did not win any of the crucial constituencies, while Al-Sadr’s Sairoun Movement and Al-Ameri’s Conquest Alliance were successful in significant parts of the country. In predominantly Shiite Iraq, experts consider the Shiite provinces of the south to be the most important for the final outcome of the election. In these areas, Al-Sadr and Al-Ameri took the first ranks. Al-Abadi’s Victory Alliance only won in the predominantly Sunni province of Ninawa that was destroyed by ISIL. On a national level, however, the current Prime Minister lags behind Al-Sadr and Al-Ameri.
For now, this implies that a new power balance has been established in the Iraqi parliament, bringing with it a long government formation process with unclear results. Even in the past, the winners of the most votes or seats were not always able to form a majority government. The influence of external actors, especially the US and Iran, will also be crucial for the upcoming government formation process.
Preliminary results as of May 19, 2018:
Sairoun-Movement (Muqtada Al-Sadr): 54 seats
Conquest-Alliance (Hadi Al-Ameri): 47 seats
Victory-Alliance (Haider Al-Abadi): 42 seats
State of Law-Coalition (Nuri Al-Maliki): 26 seats
Democratic Party of Kurdistan (KDP): 25 seats
Al-Wataniya (Ayad Allawi): 21 seats
Hikma-List (Ammar al-Hakim): 19 seats
Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK): 18 seats
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