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Short political reports of the KAS offices abroad

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Zwischen Reform und Realität – Politische Partizipation von Menschen mit Behinderung in Jordanien

Inklusion weltweit – aktueller Stand aus Jordanien

Jordanien hat in den vergangenen Jahren wichtige Reformprozesse angestoßen, um politische Teilhabe auszubauen und Menschen mit Behinderungen stärker in gesellschaftliche und politische Strukturen einzubinden. Neue gesetzliche Grundlagen, institutionelle Entwicklungen und internationale Initiativen prägen diesen Wandel und setzen Impulse für mehr Inklusion. Gleichzeitig stehen diese Entwicklungen in einem Kontext, in dem bestehende Strukturen, gesellschaftliche Rahmenbedingungen und laufende Umsetzungsprozesse die tatsächliche Teilhabe weiterhin limitieren. Vor diesem Hintergrund bewegt sich die politische Partizipation von Menschen mit Behinderungen in Jordanien im Spannungsfeld zwischen Reformanspruch und Realität.

Amelie Hohmann, Samantha Mirus
July 9, 2026
Country reports with a difference
IMAGO / Lucian Alecu

Frozen Conflict: Government Crisis in Bucharest Continues

Parliament goes into summer recess without electing a new prime minister, while confidence in President Dan is eroding due to questionable crisis management

Romania’s parliamentary summer recess has begun anything but quietly. The vote of no confidence against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan (PNL) on 5 May triggered fierce political battles across the Romanian political landscape. The vote itself was widely perceived as a sacrilege: the motion of no confidence was jointly introduced by the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the right-wing populist Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). It remains unclear which side was effectively enabling the other. The motion received 281 votes—well above the 233 votes required for its adoption. Following the vote, PSD members withdrew from the government. Since then, Bolojan has continued to serve in a caretaker capacity, together with the reform-oriented Save Romania Union (USR) and the party representing the Hungarian minority (UDMR). Acting as a mediator in the increasingly tense political situation, President Nicușor Dan is steadily losing the confidence of many of his former supporters.

Dr. Stefan Hofmann, Mihai Marc
July 8, 2026
Country reports
IMAGO / Bestimage

Le Pen intends to stand as a candidate

The Court of Appeal’s ruling and its political consequences in France

The Court of Appeal’s ruling against Marine Le Pen on 7 July 2026 marks the start of a new phase in the run to the 2027 presidential election. Whilst the leader of the Rassemblement National (RN) parliamentary group has confirmed her candidacy and announced further legal action by appealing to the Court of Cassation – which will examine whether the two lower courts committed any procedural errors – the RN is banking on the leadership duo of Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella. The ruling marks the actual start of the presidential election campaign, which is likely to further deepen political polarisation in France.

Anja Czymmeck, Max Willem Fricke, Nele Katharina Wissmann
July 8, 2026
Country reports
IMAGO / Anadolu Agency

Framework Agreement Between Lebanon and Israel

A First Step Toward Peace or Merely a Temporary Respite?

On June 26, the United States, Israel, and Lebanon signed a trilateral framework agreement in Washington. In the agreement, Lebanon and Israel—still technically in a state of war—express their commitment to laying the foundations for lasting peace, stable security arrangements, and good-neighborly relations. Given the decades of hostility between the two countries and the ongoing conflict involving Israel and Hezbollah, the accord marks a significant and potentially historic development. Whether the agreement represents the beginning of a genuine peace process or simply a temporary de-escalation, however, will depend largely on its implementation. By engaging in direct negotiations with Israel, the Lebanese government seeks to reinforce state sovereignty and assert greater control over national decision-making. At the same time, it aims to separate Lebanon’s political future from the broader dynamics of U.S.–Iran negotiations, thereby limiting Tehran’s influence over Lebanese affairs and strengthening Beirut’s autonomy on the regional stage.

Christina Baade
July 7, 2026
Country reports
IMAGO / Zoonar

Cuba before the upheaval?

Humanitarian Crisis, U.S. Pressure, and the Future of the Cuban Regime

Cuba is at a historic turning point. The socialist economic system of the left-wing dictatorship is now more dysfunctional than ever before and, following the substantial loss of external support from Venezuela, has become barely sustainable. At the same time, the humanitarian crisis has reached unprecedented levels, while U.S. pressure on the regime continues to intensify. As Washington seeks to promote political change on the island, much of the Cuban population is struggling with daily survival. Whether the regime can continue to withstand mounting internal and external pressure, or whether Cuba is on the verge of a fundamental political transformation, is likely to become one of the defining questions of the coming months.

Johannes Hügel, Nikolaus Rischbieter
July 6, 2026
Country reports
IMAGO / ZUMA Press Wire

250 Years of the United States - The Eternal American Dream

Background and Context on the 250th Anniversary of the United States of America

President Donald Trump announced that this year’s Independence Day and its accompanying celebrations would be “the most spectacular Trump rally of them all.” It is a statement that carries significance. Not only because of its tonality, but also because it places a traditionally bipartisan holiday - one meant to celebrate the nation as a whole -into a political context. Almost as if it were his personal celebration. Between these two images, the nearly timeless ideal of a united country and a present in which national symbols are increasingly viewed through a political lens, the United States is moving toward its 250th anniversary.

Dr. Hardy Ostry, Chiara Stäbler, Helena Hubo
July 3, 2026
Country reports
IMAGO / Metodi Popow

Germany and Uzbekistan: New Impetus for a Strategic Partnership

On the state visit of Federal President Frank-Walter Steinmeier to Uzbekistan on 17 and 18 June 2026

The state visit of Federal President Frank-Walter Steinmeier to Uzbekistan on 17 and 18 June 2026 marks another step toward deepening German-Uzbek relations. It underscores the growing importance of the economic and innovation partnership between the two countries. With a population of over 38 million, Uzbekistan is the demographic giant of Central Asia and offers considerable, as yet only partially untapped potential in the areas of skilled labor recruitment, IT outsourcing, and the development of resilient supply chains for critical raw materials. In view of the strong engagement of international competitors, a geopolitical window of opportunity is opening that requires swift and decisive action by German policymakers and businesses.

André Algermißen, Abdulla Mamadjonov
June 23, 2026
Country reports
IMAGO / Anadolu Agency

Power Shift in Colombia

Narrow Election Result Reveals Deep Political Divide

Colombia has voted – and Abelardo de la Espriella has secured a razor-thin victory. While the defeated governing camp is calling for a review of parts of the election results, it remains to be seen whether the law-and-order lawyer can successfully transform from an aggressive campaigner into an inclusive statesman. The new government now faces the challenge of securing majorities and demonstrating its ability to govern, particularly in the area of security policy.

Dr. Kristin Wesemann
June 23, 2026
Country reports
stock.adobe.com / Jidia

The Ankara Summit and NATO’s Southern Neighbourhood

Partnerships in a Changing Strategic Environment

Ahead of the upcoming NATO Summit in Ankara, the Alliance’s Southern Neighbourhood is once again expected to feature promi-nently on the political agenda. Türkiye’s role as summit host, renewed regional escalation linked to Iran, and continued instability stemming from the conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon have all contributed to increasing Allied attention toward the South and developments affecting partners across the region. However, despite increased attention toward the Southern Neighbourhood and the wider regional crises affecting Allied and partner security, expectations regarding a broader strategic reorientation of NATO toward the South should remain measured.

Louis Bout
June 22, 2026
Country reports
IMAGO / Photosport NZ

Background and Analysis on the 2026 FIFA World Cup in the United States

A Summer Fairytale with Stumbling Blocks?

As the opening match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off in Mexico City, the largest tournament in the competition's history has begun. For the first time, 48 teams will take part, with matches played across the United States, Mexico, and Canada. Yet the most remarkable feature of this World Cup may not lie on the pitch at all. While the tournament's political significance in the United States is hard to miss, public enthusiasm has so far remained surprisingly muted. President Donald Trump has been closely involved in the preparations—establishing a national World Cup task force, appearing at key FIFA events, and announcing that he intends to hand the trophy to the winners himself. At the same time, polls suggest that large parts of the American public are approaching the tournament with comparatively little interest. It is precisely this tension that makes the event such a revealing lens on the United States as host.

Dr. Hardy Ostry, Chiara Stäbler, Helena Hubo
June 16, 2026
Country reports

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About this series

The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung is a political foundation. Our offices abroad are in charge of over 200 projects in more than 120 countries. The country reports offer current analyses, exclusive evaluations, background information and forecasts - provided by our international staff.

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