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Short political reports of the KAS offices abroad

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EPA-EFE/Robin Utrecht

Erdrutschsieg und politische Fragmentierung

Die Niederlande nach den Provinzwahlen 2023

Erdrutschsieg und politische Fragmentierung – die Niederlande nach den Provinzwahlen 2023

Dr. Hardy Ostry, Kai Gläser
June 28, 2023
Country Reports
IMAGO / NurPhoto

China: The new superpower in space?

A new arms race

The United States sees itself in a "space race" with China. But from Beijing's perspective an arms race in low earth orbit between the U.S. and China has long since begun. In reaching for the stars, China and the U.S. are not only competing for national prestige and global technological leadership, but also for geopolitical influence and military power.

Johann C. Fuhrmann
June 27, 2023
Country Reports
KAS

Feminist Foreign Policy: Mongolian Style

German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock's visit to Mongolia

The German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock is traveling to Asia’s first all-female Foreign Minister conference in Ulaanbaatar: time to fact-check Mongolia’s newly discovered “Feminist Foreign Policy”. Not at least because Baerbock started to invoke Mongolia's example to underline her own German Feminist Foreign Policy.

Viktor Frank
June 27, 2023
Country Reports
IMAGO / NurPhoto

Guatemala has voted: Surprises and messages

Guatemalans cause historic runoff: two leftist parties fight for the presidency

Elections were held in Guatemala on 25 June: The President of the Republic, the Congress, 340 mayors and municipal councillors as well as the members of the Central American Parliament (Parlacen). Since none of the presidential candidates achieved an absolute majority, the second round will take place on 20 August. The second round of voting will take place on 20 August, but not in the constellation predicted by the polls. For the first time in Guatemala's democratic history, candidates from two parties belonging to the moderate left-wing spectrum, Sandra Torres (UNE) and Bernardo Arévalo (SEMILLA), are standing in the run-off. While a number of detailed results for the congressional and municipal elections are still awaited, one thing is clear: these elections have provided some surprises, contain a clear message to the political class as a whole and ensure two more exciting months before the 2nd round of elections.

Prof. Dr. Stefan Jost
June 27, 2023
Country Reports
EdvanKun

Klare Voten bei Volksabstimmungen – kleine Fortschritte im Bereich der Außenbeziehungen

Letzter Abstimmungssonntag vor den Wahlen – Eckwerte für Verhandlungen mit der EU, beginnende Debatte zur Rolle der Schweiz in der Welt

Die vergangenen Tage und Wochen in der Schweiz waren gleich aus mehreren Gründen beachtenswert: Der erste Abstimmungssonntag des Jahres 2023 am 18.6. in der Schweiz wartete mit wichtigen Vorlagen auf und war zu einem gewissen Grad ein Stimmungstest für die Parlamentswahlen im Oktober. Dabei votierte das Schweizer Stimmvolk recht deutlich für ein Klimaschutzgesetz, für das COVID-Gesetz und – mit überwältigender Mehrheit – für die Umsetzung der OECD-Mindeststeuer. Die Beteiligung lag mit rund 42,5% etwas unterhalb des Mittels der letzten Jahre. Gewinner des Abstimmungssonntags waren die Parteien des moderaten bürgerlichen Lagers, mit ihren Abstimmungsempfehlungen, darunter auch die christdemokratisch geprägte EVP-Partnerpartei „Die Mitte“. Verlierer des Abstimmungssonntags sind neben der SVP vor allem die Sozialdemokraten (SP), die mit ihrer ablehnenden Haltung zur OECD-Mindeststeuer selbst ihre eigene Kernklientel offenbar nicht überzeugen konnten.

Dr. Olaf Wientzek, Cedric Amon
June 22, 2023
Country Reports
IMAGO / Le Pictorium

The Blue Helmet Mission in Mali is facing its end

Further aggravation of the security crisis in the Sahel

Mali has asked the U.N. Peacekeeping mission in the West African country to leave. The military government is focusing on its partnership with Russia to battle jihadists. While the army has regained some territory with the help of Russian mercenaries and Russian-made helicopters central Mali, a hotspot of violence, but is unable to keep territory.

Ulf Laessing
June 21, 2023
Country Reports
Imago / AAP

Timor-Leste at a crossroads

Old challenges for a new government

On June 26, Timorese President and Nobel Peace Prize laureate José Ramos-Horta will come to Germany to meet with Chancellor Scholz and President Steinmeier. Ramos-Horta is traveling at a crucial time for Timor-Leste. The small country is the most stable democracy in Southeast Asia, but it is also facing an economic precipice. Additionally, it is increasingly at risk of being caught between the geopolitical fronts in the Indo-Pacific.

Dr. Denis Suarsana
June 21, 2023
Country Reports
IMAGO / APAimages

Turkey after the elections

May makes everything new?

In the run-off elections of the Turkish presidential elections on 28 May, incumbent Recep Tayyip Erdoğan won against challenger Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, after the People's Alliance led by his AK Party had already won the majority in the Turkish parliament. When the old, new president presented the cabinet for the 28th legislative term on 3 June, the selection of the appointed ministers caused a stir. The current country report takes a look at announced steps and planned projects of the new government, then introduces some of the members of the new cabinet and analyses tendencies and trends for the coming period.

Walter Glos, Bruno Hamm-Pütt
June 21, 2023
Country Reports
Adobe Stock / Dzmitry

Conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan: Peace Agreement in Sight?

Under Western mediation, Armenia and Azerbaijan are moving closer to a historic peace treaty. But the road to an agreement remains rocky, the security situation fragile.

Washington, Brussels, Chișinău, Moscow - the variety of places where high-ranking representatives of Armenia and Azerbaijan have met for diplomatic talks in recent weeks symbolizes the geopolitical importance, but also the explosive nature of the ongoing peace process. Weakened by its war of aggression in Ukraine, Russia's traditional influence as a "spoiler" of a sustainable peace between the two Caucasus republics is waning. For the West, and especially for the European Union, this opens up new opportunities to distinguish itself as a political and security stakeholder in the South Caucasus.

Matthias Hespe, Stephan Malerius
June 20, 2023
Country Reports
UN Photo / Elma Okic

Indictment on the state of our world – UNHCR’s new global trends report

The "Geneva Telegram" explores events in Geneva-based multilateral organizations on a current topic. This time, the focus is on the new global trends report of the UNHCR.

On 14 June 2023, the UNHCR (United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees) presented its new global trends report on main developments in 2022. With a new record of 108,4 million, last year saw the highest (measured) increase of people forcibly displaced in a single year compared to the end of 2021. Due to the fighting in Sudan, the UNHCR counted 110 million forcibly displaced persons by mid-June 2023 already.

Dr. Olaf Wientzek, Sarah Ultes
June 20, 2023
Country Reports
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The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung is a political foundation. Our offices abroad are in charge of over 200 projects in more than 120 countries. The country reports offer current analyses, exclusive evaluations, background information and forecasts - provided by our international staff.

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