Situation of the EPP family throughout the EU

• The EPP family is the strongest political family in polls in 11 countries, the Socialist family in six (if the currently suspended Slovakian parties Smer and Hlas are included). The ID (far-right) in 3, the liberal Renew  and the GUE-NGL (far-left) are ahead in two countries each, the Eurosceptic-national conservative ECR in one country. In Hungary, Fidesz was ahead (not yet part of a party family) and in Latvia formally independent parties were ahead collectively.
• The picture is similar if one looks at the strongest single party rather than the largest family of parties: Then the EPP leads in 11 countries, the Socialists in six (if you include Smer), the ID in four, the ECR and the Left in two each, the liberals in one. In Hungary, Fidesz (no new party family yet) is in the lead. The lead over other party familys or other individual parties is often very narrow (e.g. Portugal, Poland, Belgium, Denmark, Bulgaria), or other polls show another party family or individual party in front.

Situation in the European Council

• Nine of the 27 heads of state and government in the European Council currently belong to the EPP family, in the coming weeks and months this number is expected to grow to ten (likely change of government in Poland). If the president of Cyprus (who is independent but invited to EPP summits) is included then the EPP could have 11 heads of state or government in the European Council by the end of the year.
• Six belong to the Social Democrats / Socialists (S&D) (but only if you include Smer/Robert Fico despite suspension from the PES).
• Five heads of state and government belong to the Liberals/Renew.
• Three belong to the Eurosceptic Conservatives of the ECR, soon it will probably be just two.
• Four are formally independent, including the prime minister of Hungary. If the president of Cyprus is not included (see above) then there would only be three.

Read the entire analysis here.