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Short political reports of the KAS offices abroad

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Seksan Rochanametakul

Is Thailand navigating in or out of a Political Crisis?

Power, Courts, and Dynasties

The Kingdom of Thailand has experienced significant political shifts in recent months. Following the 2023 election, the country has seen the dissolution of a major political party and the removal of its Prime Minister, both by the Constitutional Court. These events have raised serious questions about democratic accountability and the influence of unelected bodies in Thailand's political landscape.

September 17, 2024
Country Reports
IMAGO / ZUMA Press Wire

Where does Japan stand at the end of the Kishida government?

A security and economic policy assessment after three years in office

Alongside the U.S., Japan will soon also be led by a new head of government. The two economic heavyweights are more closely intertwined than ever in terms of economic and security policy. The challenges facing the island nation therefore not only affect Japanese domestic policy.

Paul Linnarz
September 11, 2024
Country Reports
IMAGO / Xinhua

Azerbaijan - Election without a choice

Aliyev has a new Azerbaijani parliament elected: The voter turnout of 37% speaks for itself

In the parliamentary elections in Azerbaijan, which were moved up due to the COP 29, President Ilham Aliyev's ‘New Azerbaijan’ party, which has been in power since 1995, won on paper. Although it only won 67 out of 125 seats, there will de facto be no independent representatives in the new Azerbaijani parliament.

Stephan Malerius, Florian Binder
September 9, 2024
Country Reports
Imago / Xinhua

Daring More Democracy in Jordan

In the Shadow of the War in Gaza, the Hashemite Kingdom Elects a New Parliament

Jordan seems more than ever committed to encourage its citizens to participate in politics – although in a carefully crafted way and under strict state supervision. The parliamentary elections on September 10 are a milestone in the “political modernization” that King Abdullah initiated three years ago – and a sparkle of hope for more democracy.

Dr. Edmund Ratka
September 4, 2024
Country Reports
Imago / Xinhua

Escalation in the Middle East intensifies

Is a regional war inevitable?

• In just over a month, we will mark the first anniversary of the Hamas terror attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. Since then, Israel has been at war with attacks from several fronts.
• The situation dramatically peaked over the summer months. Twelve children were killed in a Hezbollah rocket attack. The Israeli army (IDF) then took out a high-ranking Hezbollah commander in Beirut with a targeted airstrike. A few hours later, Hamas leader Ismail Haniyya was killed in Tehran. Although not officially confirmed, the attack is attributed to Israel.
• Iran and its proxies vowed retaliation and announced to attack Israel. The IDF and Israeli security services have been on high alert ever since. On August 25, 2024, an imminent Hezbollah attack was repelled by a pre-emptive strike. Over 100 Israeli fighter jets attacked numerous targets in Lebanon and destroyed over 6,000 Hezbollah missiles and drones.
• At the end of August representatives of the Israeli government announced that the war aims will be extended so that the evacuated inhabitants of northern Israel could return to their homes.
• Negotiations on an agreement between Israel and Hamas to free the Israeli hostages abducted on October 7th and a ceasefire appear to have reached an impasse. Since August 28, 2024, Israel has also been conducting a major military operation in the West Bank with the aim of preventing further attacks from there.

Michael Rimmel, Johannes Sosada
September 2, 2024
Country Reports
IMAGO / ZUMA Press Wire

Democratic National Convention Seals Change of Candidates

New Start, New Momentum

The Democratic National Convention has officially confirmed Kamala Harris as the party’s candidate for the presidential election. This marks the first time since 1968 that the candidacy has not been decided by voters in the primaries, following President Biden’s announcement of his withdrawal after the primaries. Just over a week after the convention in Chicago, polls indicate that Harris is gaining momentum and has shifted public opinion in favor of the Democrats in many states. Whether this will last until November depends on various factors. It is already clear that the race for the White House will be close.

Dr. Hardy Ostry, Jan Bösche
September 2, 2024
Country Reports
IMAGO / NurPhoto

Mexico's democracy at a crossroads

Change of government with turbulences

The elections of last June 2 have produced a clear result and give the election winner Claudia Sheinbaum an extensive mandate for her six-year term of office, which begins on October 1. However, this does not seem to be accompanied by a strengthening of democracy in Mexico, but rather reminiscent of the times of de facto one-party rule by the Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI) in the 1970s and 80s, which Mario Vargas Llosa described as the "perfect dictatorship" at the time. The majority in Congress with the possibility of constitutional amendments, the drastic judicial reform that calls into question the independence of the judiciary, and the abolition of state control institutions are just some of the aspects that provoke the question of whether Mexican democracy is in a dangerous downward spiral after the correct and important developments since 2000.

Hans-Hartwig Blomeier
August 30, 2024
Country Reports
adobe stock / Ramil

Parliamentary elections ahead of COP29

Despite many hurdles and a predictable outcome, independent candidates are challenging Aliyev's government.

Since 1995, the ruling party ‘New Azerbaijan’ has won every election with an overwhelming majority. The early parliamentary elections on 1 September are likely to be no exception. While the country has allowed Western election observation missions to take part in previous polls, this time only the OSCE has been invited. Chinese and Russian election observers are welcome. Despite major obstacles, independent candidates are also running. One of them is Shahriyar Majidzadeh, whose constituency of Tartar also includes parts of Nagorno-Karabakh. His slogan is: ‘Peace, climate protection, gender equality and education’.

Florian Binder, Stephan Malerius
August 27, 2024
Country Reports
IMAGO / photothek

How much sun can be fed into the grid?

Challenges and opportunities of solar roof promotion in the context of Vietnam's energy transformation

Vietnam is one of the five countries most affected by climate change worldwide. At the same time, the energy demands of the high-consuming middle class are growing day by day. Vietnam wants to be climate-neutral by 2050. For that its industry needs to become greener, for which large-scale solar parks have been built to satisfy the new hunger for energy. But the solar boom appears to have exhausted itself. Now the focus is on non-commercial solutions: small systems on the roofs of households and offices. What opportunities does solar roof funding offer, and can we expect new impulses from it?

Peter Mayer
August 13, 2024
Country Reports
IMAGO / ZUMA Press

Slow, Agonizing - and Unstoppable: the End of the Trudeau Era is Approaching

The Prime Minister and his difficult farewell to power

Canada in the summer of 2024: the government's run of bad luck - critics would say ongoing poor performance - has continued for almost 20 months. Hardly a week goes by without a new piece of bad news hitting the media. In the face of this misery, however, the head of government appears outwardly unimpressed - for now.

Dr. Norbert Eschborn
July 31, 2024
Country Reports
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The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung is a political foundation. Our offices abroad are in charge of over 200 projects in more than 120 countries. The country reports offer current analyses, exclusive evaluations, background information and forecasts - provided by our international staff.

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