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Adobe Stock/Pavel Losevsky

Russia's War Economy – an Assessment of Russia´s Military Industrial Complex

A Long-Term Plan

Since the beginning of the brutal Russian war of aggression against Ukraine, analyzes have been carried out about the strength and endurance of the Russian military. Considering the importance of the military-industrial complex (MIC) during the Soviet era and its place in Putin's Russia leaves no doubt about the Kremlin's determination. There is no price we wouldn't pay for victory, is the message.

Daivis Petraitis
August 2, 2024
Monitor
Adobe Stock / Diki

CO2 compensation – climate protection instrument, fraudulent labelling or modern indulgence trade?

On the controversial role of CO2 offsetting and the importance of binding global standards to avoid greenwashing – with insights from Latin America

In order to combat the consequences of advancing climate change, all appropriate instruments should be used. In addition to the urgently avoiding and reducing greenhouse gas emissions, this also includes offsetting them in areas where damage limitation is (still) the only way to contribute to climate protection. However, internationally valid quality standards for offsetting projects must be defined and appropriately communicated to producers, consumers, and people in the implementing regions.

Patricia Ehret, Gisela Elsner, Dr. Arnd Küppers, Denis Denis Machnik, Roberto Stohmann, Dr. Christina Stolte, Maximilian Willner, Sabina Wölkner
July 31, 2024
Sustainability Monitor
Adobe Stocke / Wojciech Wrzesień

Critical Junctures – The Future of the North

Latest development in the Baltic Sea Region

The accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO brings new strategic implications and defense opportunities for the Baltic Sea region. At the same time, it poses additional challenges for the alliance in light of Russian ambitions in the region. As NATO develops agile defense strategies, cooperation between the Baltic and Nordic states becomes even more crucial.

Nick Childs, Ferdinand Alexander Gehringer, James Hackett, Fenella McGerty
June 21, 2024
Monitor
Adobe Stock / Elle Arden / Generiert mit KI

A qualitative analysis of the political mood in Germany

Disappointment, frustration and resignation

The political climate in autumn 2023 is characterized by profound uncertainty and dissatisfaction. This study paints a picture of the mood in German society. It analyzes the political climate, attitudes to key political issues, the image of the parties, voting motives, the role of the AfD and draws conclusions for the future. In particular, it examines the question of what this mood means for democracy in Germany and to what extent it is linked to the rise of the AfD.

Caroline Werkmann, Dr. Hans-Jürgen Frieß
June 21, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
KAS / Jochen Roose

Something New More Often: The electorate of the new left-conservative party BSW

Results from a representative survey

The party “Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht - Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit” (Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance: Reason and Justice), founded in January 2024, is already attracting a sizeable electorate. Representative results are now available on the attitudes of those who intend to vote for the BSW in a Bundestag election. They are somewhat more likely to be between 41 and 60 years old. In East Germany the party is considerably more successful. In terms of immigration policy, they want more restrictions. When deciding between climate protection and economic growth, they are more in favor of economic growth.

Dr. Jochen Roose
June 12, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
Adobe Stocke / Business Pics / Generiert mit KI

Analysis of the European Elections in Germany on 9 June 2024

Report on the preliminary final result, the main voting determinants, voter migration and social structure.

The CDU/CSU wins the European elections and is far ahead of all other parties with 30.0 percent. The AfD made gains compared to the last Bundestag and European elections, coming in at 15.9 percent. The SPD came third with its weakest result in a nationwide election (13.9 percent). It was followed by the Greens, who lost significantly compared to the last European elections and achieved 11.9 percent. The Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) achieved 6.2 percent from a standing start, ahead of the FDP (5.2 percent) and the Left Party (2.7 percent).

Dr. Viola Neu, Dr. Jochen Roose
June 10, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
Adobe Stocke / Ася Лысогорская

Mandatory counseling in pregnancy conflicts

Protection for everyone involved

Advocates of liberalizing abortion in Germany are calling for the abolition of mandatory pregnancy conflict counselling. However, current regulations and the experience of counselors show that mandatory counseling is the best way to do justice to the ethical, legal and psychosocial dimensions of this conflict.

Julia Seeberg
June 5, 2024
Monitor
Adobe Stock / Imagecreator / Generiert mit KI

More people, more power?

Why human capital counts when it comes to climbing the global power ladder

The size of a population has always played a major role in helping countries rise to the status of great powers. Now the populations of more and more countries around the world are shrinking and ageing. Does this herald a loss of power on the global stage, and does population growth go hand in hand with an increase in a country's importance? The analysis of economic, security policy and social factors in middle and great powers sheds light on the connections between demographic change, national strategies and the global power structure.

Natalie Klauser, Magdalena Jetschgo-Morcillo
June 3, 2024
Monitor
Adobe Stock/ stockmotion/ Generiert mit KI

Are tariffs of all things the salvation of free trade?

We can talk about selective tariffs – but not about protective tariffs

Free world trade is being jeopardised by subsidies. The right response to this is not new subsidies, but selective tariffs in rare exceptional cases: Behind concerns about the effects of economic dependencies, the benefits of open world trade are increasingly being eclipsed. There may be situations in which trade policy dependencies – for example in the case of rare earths – can be mitigated by state intervention. Subsidies to build up own production capacities are significantly less efficient, more expensive and undermine the market principle.

Dr. Jan Cernicky
May 27, 2024
Monitor
Adobe Stock / FAMILY STOCK

The influence of Deep Fakes on Elections

Legitimate Concern or Mere Alarmism?

In the upcoming 2024 super election year, AI-driven deep fakes pose a great threat to electoral integrity worldwide. From Slovakia to the US and Turkey, manipulated audio, image or video files blur reality and erode trust of the public in available information. Combatting deep fakes demands urgent action: robust defense strategies, cyberliteracy initiatives, and ethical guidelines for the use of AI in political communication are crucial to preserve the integrity of democratic processes.

Ferdinand Alexander Gehringer, Christopher Nehring, Mateusz Łabuz
May 10, 2024
Monitor
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About this series

The Monitor series deals with one main topic at a time from the perspective of KAS experts and places it in the political and social context on the basis of a few key points.

Ordering Information

The contributions appear exclusively online and can therefore not be ordered.

 

The current main topics are “Development policy”, “Sustainability” and “Election and social research”. The contributions of these sub-series are presented for you on separate overview pages in addition to the overall series.