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Short political reports of the KAS offices abroad

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IMAGO / ZUMA Press Wire

Trump 2.0 - The Political Comeback

A Clear Majority of Voters Has Given Donald Trump a Second Chance

According to most pollsters, the election result was expected to be close, but the predicted deadlock did not materialize. Donald Trump won the presidential election on November 5, 2024, surprisingly quickly and decisively. His “Make America Great Again” message resonated with an electorate that is not experiencing the economic upturn, is suffering from high price increases, and is fearful of foreign infiltration. Vice President Kamala Harris failed to convince a majority that she could credibly represent a new beginning despite her disciplined election campaign. The secret of Trump’s unexpected success lies in his ability to attract new voter groups for the Republicans by focusing on issues that are deeply concerning to these groups, as well as his truly unique way of communicating.

IMAGO / ABACAPRESS

France and the US election

"Strategic autonomy" remains France's goal

The outcome of the US election has far-reaching political and economic implications for France, forcing the country, which is itself experiencing a serious political crisis, to define its own role in the world and in Europe. This became clear in the run-up to the elections and was also commented on in initial reactions to the outcome. In the areas of trade and climate protection, but especially in the areas of security and defence, the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States is an incentive for France to strengthen its own and European independence in order to protect French and European interests. The call for European partners to develop a foreign and security policy that strengthens Europe and reduces dependence on America without jeopardising transatlantic cooperation remains the declared goal. Co-operation with Germany in particular is of crucial importance here.

IMAGO / NurPhoto

GERB wins early parliamentary elections in Bulgaria once again

Difficult government formation expected

Parliamentary elections were last held in Bulgaria on June 9, 2024 at the same time as the European elections for the sixth time in just over three years, from which the EPP party "Citizens for the European Development of Bulgaria" (GERB) emerged victorious. Bulgarians have now been called to the polls again on October 27, 2024 to determine the composition of the parliament (Narodno Sabranie), as the parties were unable to agree on a government after the last vote.

IMAGO / Xinhua

Parliamentary elections in Uzbekistan

Votes for change or continuity?

Parliamentary elections were held in Uzbekistan on 27 October 2024. For the first time, the elections were held according to a new, mixed electoral system that includes elements of both majority and proportional representation.

IMAGO / Xinhua

Parliamentary elections in Lithuania

Loss of power and leadership crisis of the Christian Democrats

After the second round of parliamentary elections in Lithuania, the picture is looking bleak for the Christian Democrats. Not only have they lost their seat in government, but they have also lost their party leader, Gabrielius Landsbergis, in addition to major cities such as Vilnius and Kaunas. After losing his constituency, he resigned from the party and is taking a break. The Social Democrats must now find a third coalition partner with the center-left party “Democrats for Lithuania”. This will not be easy for various reasons.

Auslandsbüro Chile

Municipal and governor elections in Chile

Few surprises and good results for the political parties of the centre-right spectrum

With a total of 13,112,090 votes cast and a voter turnout of around 85 per cent, this year's municipal and gubernatorial elections marked the highest voter turnout in Chile's history. The election results were generally seen as an expression of discontent against the government, influenced by the current political situation and recent scandals that have further eroded confidence in the ruling coalition. The election took place against the backdrop of an ongoing security crisis that has dominated public discourse for some time. The winners of the local elections were the moderate forces of the centre-right alliance Chile Vamos, among others the party Renovación Nacional. Nevertheless, the election results are primarily an expression of local and regional dynamics and do not allow any clear conclusions to be drawn for the upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections.

IMAGO / Scanpix

Special election operation in Georgia

A historic election in the South Caucasus is characterised by electoral fraud on a presumably historic scale

The Georgians are a creative nation, for better or for worse. The parliamentary elections on 26 October were an impressive illustration of this. At around 10 p.m., the Central Election Commission announced a result of 53% for the ruling Georgian Dream party, with the four opposition blocs accounting for a total of 38%. Exit polls had painted the opposite picture two hours earlier. Independent election observers, who documented and communicated numerous irregularities during the election day, are calling for the elections to be annulled. The president and the opposition declare that they will not accept the election results. The OSCE's preliminary statement is very critical of the general conditions but certifies that the elections were most widely conducted in a technically correct manner. 

IMAGO / Tetra Images

Money Makes the Vote Go Round?

Campaign Finances in U.S. Elections

The election campaign in the USA is entering its final stretch. The success of a candidate is measured not only by polls but also by donations. Political parties in the USA rely on contributions from citizens and companies to support their efforts. This involves billions of dollars and significant influence, though not always success. The last election campaign in 2020 set a record: 14.4 billion US dollars were spent on presidential and congressional elections, twice as much as in 2016.

KAS-RP Parteiendialog und Demokratie

Everything open ahead of Uruguay's run-off election

Parliamentary and presidential elections in Latin America's model democratic country

On October 27, Uruguay held its presidential elections, alongside the renewal of the Senate and House of Representatives. The left-wing party Frente Amplio, led by candidate Yamandú Orsi, secured 43.9% of the votes, marking a significant increase from 2019. Álvaro Delgado, representing the conservative National Party, followed with a surprisingly strong 26.7%. Both candidates will face off in a runoff scheduled for November 24th.

IMAGO / dts Nachrichtenagentur

The “win-win” migration agreement between Germany and Kenya: Who truly benefits

The political balancing act between demographic development and economic hardship

On 13 September 2024, Kenya and Germany signed a bilateral migration agreement. In it, Germany opens up legal channels for qualified labor migrants from Kenya. In return, Kenya agreed to identify its citizens who are required to leave Germany by means of biometric data comparison and to accept expired identity documents for repatriation. Kenya’s President Ruto praised the agreement a ‘win-win situation’, but who is the real winner of the agreement? Will the agreement find the right balance between the need for regulated labor migration and averting the loss of skilled labor in the country of origin?

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About this series

The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung is a political foundation. Our offices abroad are in charge of over 200 projects in more than 120 countries. The country reports offer current analyses, exclusive evaluations, background information and forecasts - provided by our international staff.

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Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung e.V.