The “Miracle” Election - A Result that Stunned the Nation
Australian Federal Election 2019
Defying the opinion polls of the last weeks that placed Labor clearly ahead of the Liberal Party, the Coalition delivered an unexpected election victory that stunned the nation and even resulted in a majority government. Described as a ‘shock’ or ‘miracle’ victory (after Morrison proclaimed “he believed in miracles” in his election night speech), the result has given way to much reflection, analysis and political soul-searching. This includes the baffling question of how the polls got the results so wrong, and examinations are underway of the manner in which opinion polls are conducted, the technology that drives them, and how results are interpreted – drawing attention to possible blinkers and selection biases that have hindered a more astute understanding.