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Election and Social Research Monitor

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Adobe Stock / sebastien montier

Concerns and fears of the electorate – Results from representative surveys

What Germans are afraid of – On feelings of threat among the German population

Representative results on feelings of threat show how deeply certain crises affect society. Developments over time provide information on whether fears and concerns have increased and which threats are perceived as permanent. Has the Russian war of aggression had a lasting effect on Germans' sense of security? How great is the fear of the effects of climate change? And how have the feelings of threat among party supporters developed since the last federal election in 2021?

Dominik Hirndorf
October 14, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
IMAGO / Schöning

Analysis of the parliamentary election in Brandenburg on September 22, 2024

Report on the preliminary final result, the main voting determinants, voter migration and social structure

In the Brandenburg state election the SPD gains slightly more votes than the AfD. Prime minister Dietmar Woidke declared to continue office only if his social democratic party SPD gains more votes than the AfD. This resulted in a highly polarizied election campaign. SPD and AfD profited substantially while all other parties suffered.

Dr. Viola Neu, Dr. Sabine Pokorny
September 23, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
adobe stock / Simone

Analysis of the parliamentary election in Saxony on 1 September 2024

Report on the preliminary final result, the main voting determinants, voter migration and social structure.

The CDU becomes the strongest party in Saxony once again. The election analysis explains the result in comparison to the pre-election, voter migration and the main reasons for the election result. Based on the election day polls and surveys in the run-up to the election, the significance of the assessments of the leading candidates, party competences and the assessment of the government's performance for the election result are explained.

Dr. Viola Neu, Dr. Sabine Pokorny
September 3, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
IMAGO / Ardan Fuessmann

Analysis of the parliamentary election in Thuringia on 1 September 2024

Report on the preliminary final result, the main voting determinants, voter migration and social structure

The AfD becomes the strongest party in a state election for the first time. The election analysis explains the result in comparison to the pre-election, voter migration and the main reasons for the election result. Based on the election day polls and surveys in the run-up to the election, the significance of the assessments of the leading candidates, party competences and the assessment of the government's performance for the election result are explained.

Dr. Viola Neu, Dr. Sabine Pokorny
September 2, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
Adobe Stock / Elle Arden / Generiert mit KI

A qualitative analysis of the political mood in Germany

Disappointment, frustration and resignation

The political climate in autumn 2023 is characterized by profound uncertainty and dissatisfaction. This study paints a picture of the mood in German society. It analyzes the political climate, attitudes to key political issues, the image of the parties, voting motives, the role of the AfD and draws conclusions for the future. In particular, it examines the question of what this mood means for democracy in Germany and to what extent it is linked to the rise of the AfD.

Caroline Werkmann, Dr. Hans-Jürgen Frieß
June 21, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
KAS / Jochen Roose

Something New More Often: The electorate of the new left-conservative party BSW

Results from a representative survey

The party “Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht - Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit” (Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance: Reason and Justice), founded in January 2024, is already attracting a sizeable electorate. Representative results are now available on the attitudes of those who intend to vote for the BSW in a Bundestag election. They are somewhat more likely to be between 41 and 60 years old. In East Germany the party is considerably more successful. In terms of immigration policy, they want more restrictions. When deciding between climate protection and economic growth, they are more in favor of economic growth.

Dr. Jochen Roose
June 12, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
Adobe Stocke / Business Pics / Generiert mit KI

Analysis of the European Elections in Germany on 9 June 2024

Report on the preliminary final result, the main voting determinants, voter migration and social structure.

The CDU/CSU wins the European elections and is far ahead of all other parties with 30.0 percent. The AfD made gains compared to the last Bundestag and European elections, coming in at 15.9 percent. The SPD came third with its weakest result in a nationwide election (13.9 percent). It was followed by the Greens, who lost significantly compared to the last European elections and achieved 11.9 percent. The Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) achieved 6.2 percent from a standing start, ahead of the FDP (5.2 percent) and the Left Party (2.7 percent).

Dr. Viola Neu, Dr. Jochen Roose
June 10, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
Adobe Stock / GMZ / Generated with AI

My First European Election

A Representative Survey about Political Attitudes on Europe among First-Time-Voters

What do first-time voters in the European elections in June 2024 think about Europe? A representative survey shows that they think similarly to the population as a whole. Support for Germany's EU membership is similarly widespread among younger voters as in the overall population. However, younger people associate slightly less "peace" with the European Union and climate protection tends to be slightly more important to them than to all voters when it comes to the EU's political activities.

Dr. Jochen Roose
March 25, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
Adobe Stock / Dr.Söd / Generated with AI

The digital divide in society

Results from a representative survey on artificial intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) has not yet become part of everyday life for many. Elderly and respondents with a lower level of education are particularly unfamiliar with AI applications. The differences are presumably due to the fact that younger people and respondents with a high level of formal education can make use AI in their professional context. Technology, digitalization and AI are not perceived as a promise, but also not as a threat. Abstract With the spread of applications based on artificial intelligence (AI), the digitalization of society has reached a new level. A representative survey conducted by the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung examines how AI is perceived and evaluated by the general population.

Dr. Viola Neu
March 13, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
Adobe Stock / Rawf8

Public Opinion on the European Union before the European Election 2024

A representative survey on attitudes on the EU

The European elections are due in June 2024. What do people think about the EU, how interested are they in Europe and which party do they hope will deliver European policy solutions? The representative survey explores the mood ahead of the European elections. The interest in the EU is quite high and tends to be positive. A clear majority is pleased that Europe is growing together. Just under half have confidence in the EU. However, there are also critical voices. Around a quarter do not believe that Germany is better off as a result of EU membership.

Dr. Jochen Roose
March 1, 2024
Monitor Election and Social Research
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About this series

The publications of the Election and Social Research Monitor are part of our Monitor publication series. The Monitor series deals with one main topic at a time from the perspective of KAS experts and places it in the political and social context on the basis of a few key points.