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KAS / Jochen Roose

Monitor Election and Social Research

Something New More Often: The electorate of the new left-conservative party BSW

Results from a representative survey

The party “Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht - Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit” (Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance: Reason and Justice), founded in January 2024, is already attracting a sizeable electorate. Representative results are now available on the attitudes of those who intend to vote for the BSW in a Bundestag election. They are somewhat more likely to be between 41 and 60 years old. In East Germany the party is considerably more successful. In terms of immigration policy, they want more restrictions. When deciding between climate protection and economic growth, they are more in favor of economic growth.

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After a long period of conflict, Sahra Wagenknecht and several others have split from the Left Party and founded a new party: "Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht – Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit" (BSW). A representative survey now provides information on the attitudes and social structure of the BSW electorate.
A few months after the party was founded, the majority of voters already have an opinion about the new party. 18 percent like the BSW, while 44 percent reject the new party. A further 27 percent are indifferent. 5 percent want to vote for the BSW in a federal election and a further 3 percent can imagine doing so. This is similar to the party’s result in the European election. Whether this will actually be enough to enter the Bundestag in the 2025 federal election cannot be estimated at present.

BSW voters are slightly more likely to be men and their formal education is more often than average on a medium level. The party can attract voters in eastern Germany in particular. 

In terms of political attitudes, BSW voters are similar to AfD voters, although not quite as forceful. For example, voters with a preference for the BSW demand that immigration opportunities for foreigners be further restricted. However, they do not demand such restrictions as strongly as AfD supporters, but more strongly than supporters of all other parties. The same applies to the trade-off between economic growth and climate protection. Here, BSW voters are more likely to favor economic growth, but not as forcefully as AfD voters. In social policy the picture differs. When it comes to the trade-off between higher taxes or more welfare state benefits, BSW voters are close to the population average. The study also looks at trust, life satisfaction and satisfaction with democracy in Germany.

These and other detailed findings can be found in the full study " Öfter mal was Neues – Repräsentative Umfrage zu den Wählerinnen und Wählern der neuen Partei Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW)” here as PDF. Please note, to date the study is only available in German.

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Dr. Jochen Roose


Electoral and Social Research +49 30 26996-3798


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About this series

The publications of the Election and Social Research Monitor are part of our Monitor publication series. The Monitor series deals with one main topic at a time from the perspective of KAS experts and places it in the political and social context on the basis of a few key points.