Arab Public Opinion amidst the Iran War
Findings from the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung (KAS)’s 2026 MENA Survey
A decade and a half after the 2011 Arab Spring, conditions across the region have changed drastically. The promises of positive change for ordinary citizens in the early 2010s have largely receded into systems that, for the most part, resemble the political systems that existed before the uprisings. Yet, much has also changed: the horrific attacks by the terrorist organization Hamas against Israel on October 7, 2023 and the Israeli military campaign that followed have had vast spillover effects. Regional escalations in recent years culminated in the joint U.S. and Israeli war on Iran, which began on February 28, 2026 and has since impacted nearly all countries in the Middle East. Amidst the Iran war, KAS cooperated with Arab Research and Analytics Associates to carry out nationally representative public opinion surveys across seven societies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA): Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, the Palestinian Territories, Syria, and Tunisia. The results reveal that a combination of frustration, pragmatism, and selective optimism defines public opinion across MENA. This outcome may be surprising, particularly given the challenges brought about by the Iran war. The survey findings imply that this conflict has cast a long shadow over both domestic and international responses, reinforcing attention to security, national resilience, regional alignments, and the risks associated with appearing out of step with national interests during a moment of crisis.