Demographic developments do not follow a linear path. Public debate is increasingly turning to questions that go beyond the retirement of the baby boomers. What will happen to the housing and property market in the coming decades, when many houses and apartments change hands because older owners move out, pass on their property or die? For small and medium-sized enterprises, too, the question is becoming more pressing: what happens when a large generation gradually leaves its previous roles behind and businesses, responsibilities or assets have to be transferred?
The consequences of societal ageing do not end when the baby boomers leave the labour market. They will reshape different areas of society. This is where the analysis begins. It looks beyond the first phase of demographic change, which has now been widely discussed. Its focus is on how the effects of the ageing of the baby-boom cohorts will continue over the coming decades, and which regional and age-structural shifts will become visible as a result. A perspective that focuses on federal states and municipalities reveals specific patterns that can easily remain hidden in the national trend. Ageing affects growing cities, rural areas, structurally weak regions and prosperous destinations for inward migration in different ways and, in some cases, at different points in time. For this reason, dealing with demographic change after 2030 requires a closer look at regions, time horizons and transitions between different stages of life.
Read the entire Publication: `Nach den Babyboomern – Wie sich der demografische Wandel über 2030 hinaus entwickelt´ here. Please note that it is currently available in German only.
